Chair, investor, and adviser to a small number of organisations doing important work.

Interested in long-term thinking, social change, and ambitious ideas that do not fit neatly into existing categories.

Recent writing

  • On disconfirming evidence

    “It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.” — Mark Twain*  In this article in…

  • September: Updates from Firetail

    Most of Firetail’s work is the kind of foundational, long-term strategy work that rarely makes headlines, so I don’t normally get to celebrate the work of the team.…

  • Do you have a “Futures Gap”?

    In recent conversations with our mission-driven clients and partners, a recurring theme has emerged: a feeling of disengagement and disconnection from the forces and conversations shaping the future. …

  • Two difficult strategy questions for 2024

    As the team looked back on the last year, we reflected on two themes which consistently emerged in our most interesting conversations. These themes surfaced in our work…